Thursday, August 9, 2012

Bill Gertz: October Surprise

October Surprise: Israel said to be readying October attacks on Iranian nuclear sites


U.S. intelligence analysts watching for indicators of Israeli military action recently reported that there are signs the Jewish state plans an attack against Iran in October.

The Obama administration, meanwhile, is preparing to provide logistical support for a military strike but is pressing Israel to delay any action until the administration’s policy of sanctions have had more time to work, and that any attack would be put off until after the November presidential election.

U.S. opposition to any pre-election strike was discussed during the recent visit to Israel by White House National Security Adviser Thomas Donilon and a later visit by Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, according to U.S. officials.

Panetta signaled possible U.S. military options for an Iran contingency during his press conference in Tel Aviv with Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak Aug. 1. Panetta said the United States and Israel are united in seeking to prevent Iran from ever having nuclear arms.

“We have been steadily applying more and more pressure against Tehran, focusing on diplomatic and economic sanctions, and I believe these steps are having an effect,” Panetta said.

He then added: “It’s my responsibility as secretary of defense to provide the president with a full range of options, including military options, should diplomacy fail. President Obama has made clear that preventing a nuclear-armed Iran is a top national security priority by the United States and that all options — all options — are on the table.”

Any Israeli military attack is expected to be carried out with little or no warning, which has meant stepped up monitoring of Israel by U.S. intelligence agencies for all indicators of an impending attack.

Ehud Barak, the Israeli defense minister, made a significant statement on Israel’s plans on July 25. Barak said during a graduation ceremony that if sanctions fail to halt Tehran’s nuclear program, an attack would be needed.

“I am well aware of the difficulties involved in thwarting Iran’s attempts to acquire a nuclear weapon,” Barak was quoted as saying by Israel’s Ynet news agency.

“However, it is clear to me that without a doubt, dealing with the threat itself will be far more complicated, far more dangerous and far more costly in resources and human life,” he said, referring to a future nuclear-armed Iran.

Barak also said that sanctions and other diplomatic steps “are not enough to stop Iran’s nuclear program.”
U.S. officials said both Donilon and Panetta urged the Israelis to give sanctions a chance to work. New sanctions were imposed on Iranian financial institutions last week.

But the sanctions contain loopholes that critics say will limit their effect in influencing Iran’s Islamist regime from coming into compliance with international controls on its nuclear program.

The International Atomic Energy Agency, contradicting standard U.S. intelligence analysis, stated recently that there are signs Iran engaged in nuclear arms development past 2003, when U.S. agencies said such work halted.

Some Israeli military leaders are said to be raising new concerns that Iran is positioning its forces for asymmetric counterattacks, specifically a new aggressive naval strategy of shutting down western oil supplies. Evidence of the new strategy was the recent dispatch of Iranian warships to the Mediterranean for the first time since 1979. The warships could be used to threaten shipping through the Red Sea and followed threats by Iranian officials to close the strategic Strait of Hormuz, through which a major portion of the world’s oil passes.

More at the link posted above.


Great Grany 5 said...

When Israel surprised the world in 1967, I remember the one thing about it that really upset all of the politicians: No one expected a preemptive strike by Israel. The 'great minds' were not prepared for an offensive manuever by such a little nation but they pulled it off and the Sinia was part of the victory. But again, the 'great minds' threw such a fit that Israel agreed to a treaty with Egypt.

But in great Wisdom, Isreal did not disclose their intents/plans/purposes outside of Israel.

My point? Don't expect Israel to divulge their real plans when they know that this time, it will be another Lone Dove event. They have more on their side than any other nation on this planet and if Gideon was alive on this earth right now, he would certainly attest to that fact.


SeanOsborne said...

Not only Gideon, but in addition and especially Midian, Sisera,
Jabin, Oreb, Zeeb, Zebah and Zalmunna.

Were they around today, they would likely tell their descendants... "We've been there and done that; which is why we died so prematurely before our time."

Rapture Forums said...

Very interesting article. It sure sounds like something is coming down the tunnel on this Iranian nuclear program. The world is going to be very different if the Iranians are allowed to acquire nuclear arms. The whole region will then want arms.

I can't believe stupid Hussein Obama said no to the oil shale deal with Canada. We need to wean ourselves off that Middle Eastern oil and develop secure sources of energy.

I think the big question is whether Israel will agree to wait until after the elections? I sure hope they won't because every day Iran works on their nuclear program is one day faster they can rebuild if it is destroyed. JMHO.

Praying for Israel.

SeanOsborne said...


""Is this a great possiblity of really taking place?""

Yes it is, but not exactly as described by the New Media Journal article.

I'm not so sure Israel would use a Jericho III for this kind of strike.

Too much forewarning imho.

I think they'd use submarine launched weapons to increase the element of surprise. Just a hunch.

Great Grany 5 said...

Thank you Sean for clarifying the report. After all of the Internet chatter going on about it, I would imagine a less publicized approach would prevail.

One of the dangers of this mass media world we live in but it can also be a huge weapon against those who terrorize others. I think you called it misinformation and I like that description.

There is no way that Persia can put an iron blanket over their nation but I like the anticipation knowing that it is going to come and quite possibly by Jehovah Himself.

Shalom, GG5

SeanOsborne said...


I have posed a question to other eschatologists as to whether Ezekiel 39:6 contains a direct reference to Iran.

Here's my query:

"I am pondering something given the acknowledgement that neither Israel or the US could completely stop the Iranian nuclear program short of total thermonuclear war.

Both the US and Israel could greatly damage and significantlyhinder the Iranian nuclear program. Both could also suppress Iranian conventional military capability to project power far beyond its frontiers as indicated by prophecy
yet to be fulfilled prior to Ezekiel 38/39.

So, given the apparent land-locked location of the majority of the Gog of Magog confederation the prophetic statement made in Ezekiel 39:6a would appear to contain more meaning than has been expresses in exegesis thus far.

“And I will send fire on Magog and on those who live in security in the coastlands."

Iran believes itself to be quite secure within the Straits of Hormuz; its entire southern boundary consists of Persian Gulf coastlands.

I am wondering if this is a direct reference to the Lord's wrath that Iran will receive as the Lord reveals Himself to Israel as her omnipotent defender?"

Great Grany 5 said...

Thanks for your digging for some needed answers. Ez. 39 is something that has been very heavy on my mind for a long time and I do believe that God isn't going to let either country go single handed into the battle without His assistance.