Thursday, October 11, 2018

Global SITREP D3-18: The End-Game in Syria (Part III)

Vladimir Putin (L) and Binyamin Netanyahu (R)
UPDATE 11 October 2018: Knock-knock. Anyone paying attention?  What's so completely wrong with this picture: On September 17, 2018 the "Syrian" Air Defense system, allegedly under Russian military command and control (C2) shot down a Russian IL-20M electronic spy plane killing all 15 crewmen aboard 21.9 miles (35 km) off the Syrian coast in the Mediterranean Sea. For this catastrophic act Russia rewards Syria with four (4) complete S-300PMU-2 air defense systems for free? Nobody finds this odd? 

A three week old real-world reality and everyone's moved on to other stuff. Right. Shoot down a multi-million dollar spy plane, kill 15 Russian highly-trained specialist airmen, blame Israel for it, and Russia gives Syria $600 million dollars worth of state-of-the-art air defense systems absolutely free. It should have been a billion-dollar deal between Russia and Syria. Nothing to see here, move along. (And in Ezekiel 38/39 Russia comes calling to take Israel as a spoil of war - yeah, move along.)

And another thing. It is found in Jeremiah 49:23. The general area is denoted in this prophecy with the naming of "Hamath and Arpad." Specifically, northwestern Syria. Eschatology Today has been keyed like a laser on this for quite some time now. Then the text gets a little more specific; it focuses on the nearby sea to the west: "There is trouble on the sea, it cannot be quiet."  

Ohhh, that's right, a Russian aircraft with 15 souls on board were shot out of the sky by a Russian missile from a Russian integrated air defense system 22 miles out into that sea off Syria's coastline. And Israel was blamed - is being blamed - and $600 million worth of additional air defense systems are given to Syria for free. Systems designed to wage war against... who? No big deal. No chance here of prophetic fulfillment to the exact letter 2,600 years after God gave it to the reluctant prophet. And all the prophecy teachers were silent.

10 October 2018: RUSSIA HAS REJECTED ISRAEL'S SOVEREIGNTY OF THE GOLAN!

8 October 2018: This is big news for a very important update. Israel is beginning to recognize Russia as an enemy nation. 

An analysis piece was published by Arutz Sheva (INN) in Israel this morning under the headline: "Russia's Latest Moves Reveal it as an Enemy." This analysis is clearly based upon an article written by Yigal Carmon published yesterday by the Jewish News Syndicate under the headline: "The mask drops: Russia reveals itself as Israel's enemy." Both of these articles confirm the continuing analysis published by Eschatology Today in the immediate aftermath the IL-20M shoot-down, and specifically as found in the last two paragraphs at the bottom of this SITREP.  The Arutz Sheva analysis also confirms the referenced "rumors of war" found in the first sentence of second paragraph in the original 5 October dateline.

Quoting the Arutz Sheva analysis:

"During his meeting with US President Donald Trump on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly almost two weeks ago Netanyahu said he had “got everything he wanted from Trump” regarding the crisis with Russia over Syria.The Israeli-Russian crisis started after the Russian army falsely blamed Israel’s air force (IAF) for the downing of a Ilyushin IL-20 reconnaissance plane which was shot down with a S-200 SAM missile killing 15 Russian servicemen on Sept. 20.Trump reportedly okayed the immediate delivery of an additional number of F-35 stealth war planes - which are considered the best fighter jets in the world – to the Israeli Air Force, while for the first time deploying a squadron of US F-35s in Abu Dhabi.Both moves must be regarded as an attempt to neutralize the threat posed by the new S-300 anti-aircraft batteries to both the IAF and the US Air Force, which is supporting American Special Forces stationed in eastern Syria and northern Iraq."

It should not take an Einstein, or eight million Einstein's in Israel, to shortly put two and two together in a realization that the Russian Federation is the power from the utmost north identified by the prophet Ezekiel in the 38th and 39th chapter of the prophetic book bearing his name.

In the meantime, the best fighter aircraft in the world is directly engaged in countering Iran from the shores of the Eastern Mediterranean Sea to the eastern end of the Arabian Sea, in essence, the entire Area of Operations (AOR) of South West Asia. We can also see the two opposing forces referenced by Ezekiel, the Magog military confederation and Israel's military allies - Sheba, Dedan (the GCC alliance) and merchants of Tarshish and all its young lions (the Western or NATO alliance). 

And a necessary word of caution regarding Ezekiel 38/39. This prophetic engagement is NOT next on the timeline of pre-70th Week of prophetic dominos. The events and specific enemies described by the singing prophet Asaph in Psalm 83, and the two parallel prophecies of Isaiah 11:14 and Ezekiel 28:24 must occur first in order to fulfill the pre-condition established by Ezekiel 38:8-11. These specifics are essential to repeatedly bring up so that all who read here fully understand the literal (hermeneutic) interpretation and scope of prophetic fulfillments espoused by the bulk of those prophecy teachers who adhere to classical Dispensationalism.

Again... the impending fulfillment of Isaiah 17 and Jeremiah 49:23-27 are viewed by Eschatology Today as key prophetic dominos in the nearing flood of toppling of other well-identified and successive prophetic dominos leading up to the 70th Week. At some unknown point in this process, the bride of Christ shall be caught up instantaneously at the last trumpet to meet our LORD Jesus Christ in the air (I Corinthians 15:50-54).

IAF F-35I Adir
Russian S-300PMU-2 "Favorit" SAMs in Syria



5 October 2018: The first sentences of the previous SITREP D2-18 have been proven correct: "The end-game in Syria is no longer about rebels. Now it's all about a big powers (i.e. nuclear powers) face-off: Russia, Syria and Iran versus Israel, the U.S. and our allies." The big powers face-off can be seen in the escalating high-end hardware entering the war zone. In the past week we saw the emergency transfer deployment of four front-line Russian armed forces S-300PMU-2 "Favorit" SAM systems directly from their bases in Russia to the T4 (Tiyas) Air Base in Syria. 

The rumors of war have it that additional F-35I Adir stealth fighters are enroute to Israel in response. If this reminds you of a grand-scale chess game, you're not alone in thinking along those lines. The United States has a standing directive to maintain Israel's qualitative edge when it comes to military hardware. The F-35I Adir is the tip of that spear and it is merely a matter of time before that spear is thrown against the next Iranian/Hezbollah target to appear in Syria. For their part the Russians understand this implicitly - Israel will not fire at Russian or Syrian forces unless fired upon. Iranian military forces in Syria are another matter entirely and will be struck when identified.

The increased Russian S-300PMU-2 "Favorit" SAM deployment into central Syria is, as US CENTCOM commader General Votel recently stated, "a needless, needless escalation." That said, General Votel also noted that the S-300 deployment will not have any effect on current and future US military operations. Ditto for Israel.

The Russians have also deployed one of the FOUR newly arrived S-300PMU-2 "Favorit" SAMs to Tartus, Syria, which is an element of the Russian air defense battalion in Syria. That means this deployment can be seen as a reinforcement as would also be the case of Hmeimim Air Base where other S-300 and S-400 batteries have been based for a couple years now. 

The Russian SAMs were clearly combat ineffective in preventing the IL-20M Coot-A from being shot down by their Syrian ally. Russia knows this as a fact because the Russian MoD announced on 25 August 2017 that its air defenses deployed into Syria had been fully integrated with the air defense assets of Bashar al-Assad's Syrian air defense units. This announcement came from the Chief of Staff and Russian Aerospace Forces commander, Major General Sergei Mescheryakov.  

If readers will recall, following the heavy U.S. cruise missile strike on Assad's  Shayrat Air Base in April 2017 all remaining Syrian combat aircraft were redeployed to Russias Hmeimim Air Base due to its being defended by Russian S-400, S-300, Pantsir S-1 anti-air systems. Recall, if you can, how many additional air strikes Israel conducted in Syria between April 2017 and September 2018. Allow me to respond to my own question: that number is well over 200 strikes. Therefore, the blatantly obvious conclusion is that Russia's blaming Israel for the IL-20M shoot-down is wildly fantastical nonsense. 

20 comments:

  1. If the newest "rumors of war" turns out to be accurate, then an Israeli F-35I Adir strike on newly deployed Russian S-300PMU-2 "Favorit" SAM systems in Syria would become a certainty.

    The new rumor circulating this morning is that Iranian teams that have been operating the more advanced S-300PMU2 systems in Iran since they were declared combat ready in July 2017 are being deployed, at least an adequate portion of them, to opeerate the S-300PMU-2 "Favorit" SAM systems newly arrived in Syria. This negates the previous assessment of a three-month training period for Syria operators for these systems.

    These Iranian crews being transferred to duty in Syria would therefore have, at a minimum, 15 months of combat duty experience in the operation of S-300 SAM battalion-size systems (160 to 240 missiles) within an integrated air defense network.

    Things moving a bit quicker now.

    ReplyDelete
  2. When do you expect the start of the 70th week, Sean? Could the final 7 years before the Second Advent of our Lord and Saviour Jesus Christ start in 2021 and that the Second Advent itself will occur in 2028 when Israel will celebrate her 80th anniversary?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Moin,

    What I believe from the Lord's chronological order given to us through Scripture is that the 70th Week will begin after Ezekiel 38/39 has been fulfilled. Notice Ezekiel 39:29 in particular.

    Ezekiel 38/39 will occur after Isaiah 17 and Psalm 83 have been fulfilled.

    This blog has a decades worth of articles detailing this chronological order.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hello,

    Hi Sean, First time posting. I'm just actually curious about Moin's post and your response to it.

    To me it seems as though he thinks the Rapture could occur in 2021.

    That is 3 years away. And your response was that the Ezekiel war will occur before that but only AFTER the Isaiah and Psalm 83 wars.

    My question is, can these things which we are seeing right now, go on for another 3 more years?

    Could Moin be right and if so, could the Rapture occur simultaneously with the start of the Ezekiel war?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Mr. Cap Sr.,

    My answer was given in the recent update to this SITREP. I'll repeat it:

    And a necessary word of caution regarding Ezekiel 38/39. This prophetic engagement is NOT next on the timeline of pre-70th Week of prophetic dominos. The events and specific enemies described by the singing prophet Asaph in Psalm 83, and the two parallel prophecies of Isaiah 11:14 and Ezekiel 28:24 must occur first in order to fulfill the pre-condition established by Ezekiel 38:8-11. These specifics are essential to repeatedly bring up so that all who read here fully understand the literal (hermeneutic) interpretation and scope of prophetic fulfillments espoused by the bulk of those prophecy teachers who adhere to classical Dispensationalism.

    Again... the impending fulfillment of Isaiah 17 and Jeremiah 49:23-27 are viewed by Eschatology Today as key prophetic dominos in the nearing flood of toppling of other well-identified and successive prophetic dominos leading up to the 70th Week. At some unknown point in this process, the bride of Christ shall be caught up instantaneously at the last trumpet to meet our LORD Jesus Christ in the air (I Corinthians 15:50-54).

    ReplyDelete
  6. Ok...my apologies for missing that. But do you see this lasting anther 3 years as he mentioned?

    ReplyDelete
  7. Moin got that 2021/2028 from a post I made some time ago based on Psalm 90:10. 70 years normal, 80 with strength.

    I applied that to Israel's modern founding:

    1948 + 70 = 2018.
    1948 + 80 = 2028.
    2028 - 7 = 2021.

    The inference is the the season for the Harpazo is current from 2018 plus 3 years to 2021. Meaning it could take place in any instant during this time. The decision is entirely the Father's.

    It doesn't matter what I think. It's all in the Father's sovereign will.

    It is imminent.

    ReplyDelete
  8. The IAF was flying over Lebanon today, testing the S-300PMU-2 'Favorit' for combat readiness. The mission flew as far north as Tripoli before RTB.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Sean, since Ps83/Is11/Je49 first likely occur by the action of man and Ezekiel 38/39 demonstrates the supernatural hand of the Lord, maybe the Harpazo is the kickoff of supernatural events to come for the remaining prophetic fulfillment of Ezekiel 38/39, Daniel's 70th Week, etc., on out?

    ReplyDelete
  10. Chuck B,

    That sounds quite logical to me. In fact, I would say Scripture supports it 100%.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Chuck B, Sean Osborne,

    That has always been my thinking. I think psalm 83....occurs before the harpazo and there will be a small window (the procession???) Before the harpazo and the harpazo will kick off Ezekiel 38, the 70th week.... Not dog matic but that's just my thinking

    ReplyDelete
  12. And just so it's not lost in the shuffle... I also believe Joshua 13 will be a prophetic fulfillment, one of the dominos, along with Psalm 83, which Isaiah 11:14 and Ezekiel 28:24 attest to.

    Hezbollah and "all of Lebanon" are on borrowed time.

    ReplyDelete
  13. A Jamestown Foundation report, replete with linked citations, that confirms Eschatology Today's series of SITREPs on the end-game in Syria.



    Putin's Anti-Israel Surge in Syria

    ReplyDelete
  14. This is big. DebkaFile is reporting this morning (10/10) that the Russian Foreign Minister is rejecting Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights. That is war talk. https://www.debka.com/mivzak/lavrov-rejects-israeli-sovereignty-in-golan/

    ReplyDelete
  15. Russia has rejected Israel's sovereignty over the Golan.

    Putin has informed Netanyahu that the U.N. Security Council must determine the sovereignty status of the Golan.

    [This Russian demand is an immediate non-starter, DOA, IMHO]

    This is breaking news has been confirmed by multiple media reports in Israel this morning. My immediate sources are:

    Times of Israel
    YNet
    i24NEWS

    ReplyDelete
  16. The Russian position is a sharpened spur into the hindquarters of the US Congress to pass legislation recognizing Israeli sovereignty on the Golan.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Been seeing foreign media (Arab and Iranian) reports of Russian troops having forward deployment to al-Mayadin (near Dier Ezzor - Iraq border) for about a week or so. Now the Washington Examiner is reporting on this also adding credibility to the story on the whole.

    Fact is, this Russian deployment is a direct military challenge to the US-led CJTF-OIR and to Israel, as well as our FOB at al-Tanf.

    Threats escalating rapidly.

    ReplyDelete
  18. When I first read about Syria shooting down a Russian spy plane and blaming Israel, and then giving syria the s300's my thought was they were not letting a crisis go to waste and nothing is for free.
    Your take on this has certainly got my full attention.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The rapidity of the S-300 transfer is telling. They were prepared well in advance for the transfer to Syria, well prior to the spy plane shootdown.

      No maintenance issues, no reconfiguration for a new AOR. Just load 'em up, fly 'em, off load 'em and roll 'em into prepared Syrian launch sites; plug in, flip breakers on and energize into the network.

      Delete
  19. An article published by Business Insider reveals how USAF F-22 Raptors have kept nearly 600 Russian, Syrian or Iranian dogfighter and bomber aircraft out of our area of control in Syrian skies. Chased them away the Raptors did.

    This report also confirms the IAF's account of how Syrian air defenses conduct their operations during cruise missile or aircraft strikes by the IAF, US, UK and French in recent strikes against Syrian or Iranian targets - they fire SAMs wildly and blindly into the air some time AFTER the strke has already been successfully completed.

    Russia itself and a Syrian S-200 AD crew are responsible for the IL-20M Coot-A shootdown. Period.

    ReplyDelete

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