Global SITREP F4-21: "I Will Turn You Around, Put Hooks in Your Jaws, and Lead You Out..." Part II

Russian T-72B3 Main Battle Tank

UPDATE 16 December 2021: It would be a completely false notion to believe that warfare is not raging in eastern Ukraine. Warfare is raging. 

A synopsis of the past 24 hours reveals hybrid formations composed of Russian Army and Donbas region rebels launched ten attacks in the Donetsk, Luhansk and Mariupol sectors yesterday which included heavy artillery barrages and other weaponry allegedly banned under the obviously failed Minsk Accords. A Russian court in the city of Kirov accidentally published a legal proceeding in which the Russian Army presence in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts in Ukraine was confirmed. Within hours the report was deleted by state media censors. In today's actions four more attacks on Ukrainian Army positions were launched by forces of the Russian Federation in Novoluhanske using 82mm mortars and heavy anti-tank grenade launchers. 

These attacks are designed to cause an escalation which Russia would use as an excuse for an all-out invasion by its forces along three axes into the heart of Ukraine. In order to forestall this Ukrainian troops, under the command of the Joint Forces Office in Kiev, are limiting their actions to purely defensive measures. The Ukrainians face 120,000 Russian troops with an additional 100,000 that could be deployed in the coming days or weeks. We won't know until V. Putin has completed his risk versus reward calculations if an invasion is ordered; if a full-scale invasion occurs then we'll have our answer. That point may come no later than late January 2022 according to military observers. The other option V. Putin is considering is for a slow "creeping" or low-intensity conflict which has less risk of an onslaught of sanctions from the Western Alliance that could cripple the Russian economy. 

Ukraine is not defenseless. The Ukrainian Army is now fully equipped with the formidable Oplot-M Main Battle Tank, a modernized and upgraded version of the T-84 MBT.

Finally, is there an economic link to the prophetic Russian desire to plunder Israel (foretold in Ezekiel 38/39) that is related to the increasing potential of Western sanctions? We'd be silly not to factor in this possibility.

14 December 2021: Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov announced during a video teleconference today that Russia will respond militarily and forward deploy tactical nuclear weapons to Ukraine's border if NATO continues to arm Ukraine and does not guarantee an end to its eastern expansion. Ryabkov added "there will be a confrontation" leading to the deployment of weaponry previously banned under the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty of 1987 signed by U.S. President Ronald Reagan and Soviet General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev. Source: VOA News Release 2:20 PM EDT.

Here below are six embedded direct links to the archived Global SITREPs on the Russia-Ukraine crisis dating back to 28 March 2014 and moving forward to the updated info of 14 April 2021. These six are the essentials, but there are others in the archives. 

There was an approximately six month hiatus in overt Russian aggressive movements until last month's wholly manufactured refugee destabilization gambit on NATO's eastern border (Poland and Lithuania). The Russian offensive armor and troop build-up (including airborne troops) along Ukraine's entire eastern border with Russia also began in April 2021. 

Global SITREP B19-14: "Cry Havoc! And Let Slip the Dogs of War!" 

Global SITREP B13-14: Ukraine (Russia Invades)

Global SITREP C6-14: Ukraine is Essential to Ezekiel 38/39 Fulfillment 

Global SITREP A6-15: Russia Continues the Invasion of Eastern Ukraine

Global SITREP A10-17: News That's Not Being Widely Reported

Global SITREP B6-15: Gog of Magog On The Move

This update now must include the forward deployment of additional of Buk-M1 (9K37M1) medium-range air defense systems (NATO Name: SA-17 Grizzly) in the past 48 hours. It was a Buk-M1 system which shot down a Malaysian airliner in 2014 having mistaken it as a NATO reconnaissance mission over Ukraine. All 298 passengers on board flight MH17 from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur were murdered by the Russian military operators, many of whom were citizens of NATO countries, The Netherlands in particular. 

BUK-M1 (9K37M1)
NATO Name: SA-17 Grizzly) SAM system

Proof of Russia's culpability in the shoot-down was determined when a Buk-M1 vehicle was photographed making a hasty retreat back into Russian territory from the Donetsk town of Snizhne and missing two of its previously photographed four missile loadout. Eschatology Today is convinced the forward deployment of the Buk-M1 system is in response to the USAF flight on 11 December (last Saturday) of an RC-135W 'Rivet Joint' on an ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance) mission over Ukraine all the way from RAF Mildenhall, UK.

We learned yesterday morning that President Biden's pledge on Wednesday, 8 December of no US combat troops deploying into Ukraine was pure hogwash. The first advance movement of US troops was on the ground in Ukraine and made public knowledge yesterday morning by the left-leaning Military Times newspaper at 11:00 EST. 

What we also know and need to recall is the decision made at the 2008 NATO Summit in Bucharest, Romania. That decision was to admit the former-Soviet republics of Ukraine and Georgia into the NATO alliance. One of Russia's critical demands of NATO is to disavow that decision entirely. NATO's refusal led directly to the concocted Russian invasion of Georgia. Russia defended its invasion as military action to defend the Russian-speaking population in the Georgian oblast of North Ossetia. The exact same template of military action was used in Crimea, Ukraine, and again in the Ukrainian oblasts of Kharkiv, Donetsk and Luhansk in 2014. 

 

9 December 2021: In  the past 24 hours multiple sources of OSINT (Open Source Intelligence) have published reports of a new, overt massing of Russian Federation armored forces in strategic locations all along the Ukrainian border. This build-up is confirmed by satellite imagery. What has been most striking is that this build-up is essentially a significant reinforcing of the forces that had deployed to the border region in the spring of 2021. The new units arriving are among the best equipped and trained that Russia has to put in the field. They are also now in areas near Ukraine's border that are well away from their normal training areas in Russia. 

Additionally, some of the forward deployments this time have made their movements under cover of darkness providing these new arrivals a stealthy appearance in encampments they were not to be found previously. In response Ukraine has been deploying it own forces in an expedited manner, but acknowledges they have no real chance of halt a full-scale Russian invasion without significant air, land and seaborne direct support from NATO. In one now encampment there are 700 T-72B3 MBTs (image above) along with brigades of self-propelled howitzers, infantry fighting vehicles and short-range ballistic missiles. Even in Crimea which Russia conquered seven years ago new formations have suddenly appeared, including Russian marines of the Black Sea Fleet.

For the moment we'll hold here to see what transpires next; to see if the American resolve materializes, or if our NATO allies in Europe have to deal with a potential Russian invasion by themselves.