Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Global SITREP A1-25: The King IS Coming!

Watch therefore...

1 January 2025: It may sound cliche, but it is true, we have never been closer to the coming of our Lord than we are this day.

In surveying events and potentials for events in the world for 2025, the first item to make a note of is the alleged ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. It apparently has a caveat attached in which the IDF must be completely withdrawn from southern Lebanon by 60 days from November 27, 2024. That means the 61st day which is the day Hezbollah is threatening to renew its attacks on Israel is Sunday, 26, January 2025. We shall see as there are any number of circumstances which could make such an ultimatum a moot point.

The second note to make is Russia's non-negotiable position that there can be no high-stakes summit between Putin and Trump to discuss the end of the Russian war of aggression in Ukraine unless Ukraine first renounces its right to sovereignty and territorial integrity. This is not a new Russian precondition, but rather an oft-repeated demand which clarifies the objective of the Russian Federation as the total capitulation of the Republic of Ukraine and on its face cancels any notion of "good faith" negotiation to resolve the war. 

These two items stand as two of six major international crises facing the start of the second Trump Administration. The third is the Iranian nuclear weapons program; the fourth being China/Taiwan, the fifth Yemen and freedom of commercial navigation through the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandeb chokepoint. Trump unilaterally also recently announced a sixth in taking back the Panama Canal from China and Panama. 

Other crises will inevitably crop up throughout 2025, some of them yet unforeseen (seismic, asteroids, pestilences), yet all of them the prophetic birth pangs foretold by our Lord in His Olivet Discourse.

Manana'tha!




 

11 comments:

  1. Keeping our eyes and minds on Him mjb



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  2. By the way, I've not forgotten the domestic crises in this 2025 "America First" year. The borders, the debt, illegal immigration and the climate hoax. (Yes, it is a political hoax that has nothing to do with addressing real climate issues - Scripture is clear about last days ecological disasters, we live in a fallen world even if temporarily at this point in time.)

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    Replies
    1. apparently ISIS at home now is going to start off 2025

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    2. And apparently America has to re-learn the hard lesson of ideological terrorism to rouse us from a state of complacency. Terrorism is the tactic, not the enemy.

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  3. Media reporting a significant IAF airstrike on a Syrian defense facility in the vicinity of Aleppo.

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  4. A direct result of Israel going to war and decimating Hezbollah's military capabilities is the return of sovereignty to Lebanon's government. This is most evident in the military dominance and ability to project power by Lebanon's national army.

    Previously Hezbollah exerted complete control over the Lebanese government, and cowed its national army into submission at every turn.

    Iranian Twelver clerics have not only lost their control over Syria and Damascus, but now also Lebanon and Beirut. The financial loss alone is staggering and must be added to the political and military losses.

    An attempt to recover control over Lebanon may require Hezbollah to launch an all or nothing coup d'etat. That will invite an Israeli military intervention.

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  5. Point Blank: Syria is an Islamist state, probably worse than what ISIS tried to create.

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  6. The current low-intensity conflict has a significant probability of returning to full-scale warfare within a month.

    As noted earlier neither HAMAS nor Hezbollah acknowledges their being defeated by the IDF. This is evident in how these die hard Islamists continue to make ridiculous demands and issue ultimatums to Israel. Islamists in Syria and Jordan are not likely to sit it out this time.

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  7. Houthi ballistic missile was just intercepted by Israel air defense. Missile fragments fell well short of Israeli territory.

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  8. In keeping with the opening paragraph of this SITREP and my comment above at 4:10 PM yesterday, there are three more conditional aspects to the "ceasefire" with Hezbollah:

    1.) The 100% withdrawal of Hezbollah to north of the Litani River.

    2.) The complete disarming and dismantling of Hezbollah's weaponry throughout Lebanon.

    3.) The complete elimination of all Hezbollah infrastructure in southern Lebanon by the Lebanese national army.

    Those who've paid attention will recognize these items are integral to U.N.S.C.R. 1701 of 2006 which ended that conflict. Israel's non-negotiable position here has not changed one iota in the past 18 years.

    None of the above conditions have yet occurred to become facts on the ground in Lebanon. All of them are prerequisites for Israel's citizens to return in safety to their homes in northern Israel.

    The war will resume in full.

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