Tuesday, October 7, 2014
Global SITREP D8-14: Is Hezbollah (Iran) Spoiling For War With Israel?
Map of the "Blue Line" border between Israel and Lebanon
07 October 2014: If past events are any indicator of current events, then, yes, Hezbollah appears to be spoiling to start a war with Israel, possibly in conjunction with HAMAS' insistence that its summer war with Israel isn't really over, it's just a limited hudna (halt to hostilities) while it re-arms and re-gains military strength.
In three incidents in the Mt. Dov region (Shebaa Farms) of Israel's Golan Heights in recent days Hezbollah has probed, infiltrate Israel's sovereign territory and now attacked IDF troops with remotely triggered IEDs. Israel's response to the IED attack was a 40-round barrage of very precise artillery on two Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon.
It appears as if Hezbollah was attempting to secure the abduction of two IDF soldiers as Prisoners Of War, the exact same tactic which resulted in the murder of two IDF soldiers in 2006 and resulted in the fierce war of that same summer against an unprepared IDF. I make the obvious assessment that Hezbollah feels emboldened by the less-than-mission-complete results of this summer 2014's Operation Protective Edge by the IDF against HAMAS.
Watching closely for further developments.