Monday, March 14, 2016

Global SITREP B2-16: Russian Military Deployment in Syria to Commence a Drawdown

First Russian transports got their wheels up Tuesday morning 15 MAR 16.

14 March 2016: In a plot twist that caught most by surprise, with the exception of the governments of Syria and Iran, Russian Federation President Vladimir Putin today announced that Russia will commence a redeployment of the bulk of its forces out of Syria and back to Russia tomorrow. 

Apparently Putin believes that Russian forces have completed their primary mission in the rescue of Bashar al-Assad's regime from what appears to be imminent collapse just 6 months ago. Exactly which forces and military assets are withdrawn and their timetable for redeployment remains to be determined. A key consideration revolves around the formidable Russian air defense network and whether it remains, is pared down or removed entirely. It appears certain that a contingent of Russian forces will likely remain at the Tartus naval installation and the Hmeimim Air Base near Jableh for some indeterminate amount of time.

This withdrawal comes at a time where neither of the two primary enemies, Islamic State and Jabhat al-Nusra, have been militarily defeated, so it remains to be seen just exactly what effect this withdrawal with have on the battlefield, other than a reduction in the number and possibly quality of airstrikes jihadist forces will be subjected to, and the bulk of the combat now left to Iranian and Syrian forces and their proxy militias. 

This development makes for a genuine wait-and-see situation for what develops next given what Bible prophecy declares will happen in Syria (Jeremiah 49:23-27 and Isaiah 17), as well as the fact that Israeli air superiority over the Golan, southern Syria and Lebanon will continue as before, as will Iranian belligerence with Hezbollah on Israel's northern frontier.


Sean Osborne said...

All of those Bible prophecy interpreters who incorrectly tied this Russian deployment into Syria to being a fulfillment of Ezekiel 38/39 are looking for answers this morning. Their eschatological pronouncements of six months ago were clearly not led by the Holy Spirit.

Bible prophecy comes to fulfillment in detailed specifics, none of which per Ezekiel 38/39 were in evidence last September. The lesson to be learned by expositors and brethren alike is found in 2 Peter 1:20-21

"knowing this first, that no prophecy of Scripture is of any private interpretation, for prophecy never came by the will of man, but holy men of God spoke as they were moved by the Holy Spirit."

jmoll106 said...

Sean, It would seem from Eze 38:4 that Gog's original intent is conquest, he withdraws and God puts the hooks in the jaws and turns Gog back to take a spoil from Israel who has gained much land and goods from it's expansion after the Isaiah 17, Ps 83, wars completion.
When we see Damascus destroyed and Israel's borders expand we will see the fullfillment of Eze. 38/39.
Thanks for keeping our eyes on God's word and not the newspaper.
Trying to patiently wait for His return. :)

Ezekiel 38:3And say, Thus saith the Lord GOD; Behold, I am against thee, O Gog, the chief prince of Meshech and Tubal:

Eze 38:4 And I will turn thee back, and put hooks into thy jaws, and I will bring thee forth, and all thine army, horses and horsemen, all of them clothed with all sorts [of armour, even] a great company with bucklers and shields, all of them handling swords:

89rscam said...

Well as Jmoll106 said...

Now the hooks? We shall see.

And in short order a finality to Psalm 83? Expansion of Israel borders to the GOD given borders.


Ken B

Sean Osborne said...

No one is yet noticing the important element that is right here, right now. The future will happen just as Bible prophecy says it will. However right here, right now there is something that should not be missed.

I gave a brief mention to Islamic State. I have written entire SITREPs since 2014 about who and what Islamic State really is. To repeat, Islamic State is the remaining elements of the Ba'athist regime of Saddam Hussein's Iraq. Islamic State is using low-grade chemical weapons against Kurdish civilians in Iraq (as they had done repeatedly in Iraq since 1985). There is little doubt that Islamic State is practicing good stewardship over their high-grade chemical weapons.

Russia, former allies of Saddam's regime, came into and is now leaving Syria without doing any real damage to Islamic State. Virtually nil.

Think about this for a while as i put together an update for this SITREP.

jmoll106 said...

Sean, I've been reading past sitreps on the Islamic State and I can see how the future A/C will be busy fighting the Daesh (IS/ISIL). Since this will be during the final week of the 70 weeks written in Daniel, it would seem the bride of Christ's departure is oh so close, but I can't help but think the start of the final week won't occur 'til around 2021 due to other prophecies that have to take place. I sure would like to see ISIS defeated and their reign of death end closer to now than in the 70th week.

Sean Osborne said...

What's occurring in the EU today (Brussels,Paris, etc.) Will be instrumental -IMHO - in the rise of the "son of perdition" in the '10 toes' (7+3 nations). The backlash against non-assimilating, jihadist Islam may make Nazi Germany's holocaust against the Jews in WWII pale in comparison. This is what I anticipate to begin soon.

The AC's 70th Week military rampage across North Africa & the ME is nicely detailed by Gabriel in Daniel 11:40-44.

jmoll106 said...

I am looking forward to verse 44."yet he shall come to his end, and none shall help him."
Thank God our redemption is one day closer.