Why The Next Arab-Israel War Is Inevitable

UPDATE 26 March 2014: It took a while, but one of the central themes discussed below is the absolute refusal of the Arabs in the Palestinian Authority to recognize Israel as a Jewish State. During the closing session today of the 25th Arab League Summit, being held in Kuwait, this central tenet of Arab foreign policy has been set in stone through a vote of the member states vowing to never recognize Israel as a Jewish state. This determining vote in a very real sense is the "sound of inevitability." Quoting the Arab League communique:

“We hold Israel entirely responsible for the lack of progress in the peace process and continuing tension in the Middle East. We express our absolute and decisive rejection to recognizing Israel as a Jewish state.”

22 November 2010: Israel's outgoing Military Intelligence Chief, Major General Amos Yadlin, says the next war will be a multi-front war and that Tel Aviv will be one of the front lines.

In delivering his farewell briefing before Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Cabinet yesterday, Sunday, 21 November 2010, outgoing Israel Defense Forces Military Intelligence Chief MG Amos Yadlin spoke of how Iran is Israel's most dangerous enemy, that other than its relentless drive for nuclear weaponry the Islamic Republic "is reaching out with octopus-like arms to anyone who acts against Israel."

MG Yadlin continued his final Cabinet-level briefing by laying out the parameters Israel faces prior to the outbreak of hostilities, saying, "In the next confrontation, there is a chance that war will break out on more than one front, and that Tel Aviv will become a front. There is also a struggle against the very legitimacy of Israel's existence, and to face it we need intelligence and to mobilize the nation. Israel's deterrent power is very strong, but the quiet should not deceive us – to the contrary. Our enemies are getting stronger and arming themselves."

Prime Minister Netanyahu concluded the briefing by saying, "I met with him every week, sometimes several times a week. We discussed the difficult problems and new challenges that face us, from the Iranian nuclear threat, through the threat of missiles and rockets against the State of Israel, the development of Hizbullah and Hamas, as well as various developments in the countries of the region. I believe that Amos succeeded in giving us the tools with which to assess these dangers and to prepare to meet them."

As of this morning, 22 November 2010, the new IDF Intelligence Chief is Brigadier General Aviv Kochavi.

3 September 2010: The next Arab-Israel war is inevitable because at least 90% of the Arabs believe that such a war is essential for achieving their purposed desire to establish a national homeland for the "Palestinians" from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea. This overwhelming Arab majority is united in the necessity to destroy the State of Israel to make their dream a reality.

A just completed poll conducted in both Gaza and the West Bank by the Arab World for Research and Development (AWRAD) between 8 and 14 August 2010 and published on 28 August 2010 reveals the following:

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  83.5% of "Palestinians" blame the United States for the lack of progress on their agenda because of an American lack of committment in establishing a "Palestinian" state.


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  85.5% of "Palestinians" blame the citizens of Israel, believing that Israeli citizens do not want peace because peace would mean the elimination of the State of Israel. (Duh!)


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  90.2% of "Palestinians" believe it is essential for the final status peace agreement to establish "Historic Palestine" from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean Sea as a national home for "Palestinians."

It's a no-brainer. War between the Arabs and Israel is inevitable.

UPDATE 07 SEP 10: An article in today's Jerusalem Post varifies the validity of the poll I reference and the conclusion that has been made regarding the imminent war:

Abbas: No 'historic compromise' on Jerusalem, borders

"In 'Al-Quds' interview, PA president says Palestinians won't recognize Israel as a Jewish state, accuses Netanyahu of trying to "strip" Israeli-Arabs' rights.

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas rejected Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu's talk about an "historic compromise" and said there would be no compromises on core issues such as Jerusalem and borders.

Abbas also reiterated his rejection of Netanyahu's demand that the Palestinians recognize Israel as a Jewish state. "We're not talking about a Jewish state and we won't talk about one," Abbas said in an interview with the semi-official Al-Quds newspaper. "For us, there is the state of Israel and we won't recognize Israel as a Jewish state."

Abbas said that in recent meetings with leaders of the Jewish community in the US, he made it clear that the Palestinians would not recognize Israel as a Jewish state. "I told them that this is their business and that they are free to call themselves whatever they want," Abbas said. "But [I told them] you can't expect us to accept this."

Abbas said that by raising the issue of Israel's right to be a Jewish state, Netanyahu was seeking to "strip" Israeli-Arabs of their rights and turn them into illegal citizens. He said that Netanyahu's goal was also to block any chance of Palestinian "refugees" from returning to their original homes inside Israel.

Asked about the possibility of dismantling the PA, Abbas said he did not rule out such an option if he reached the conclusion that the peace talks are hopeless. However, he stressed that this option was not on the table at present."

UPDATE 13 October 2010: The expected failure of the direct Israel-Palestinian Authority negotiations has occured. According to Mahmoud Aloul, a senior member of the Fatah Central Committee which holds political power within the PA, the two-state peace process has failed. Also as expected, the PA blames the "racist policies" of Israel for this failure.

With the failure of these direct negotiations the Palestinian Authority has consulted with "Arab leaders," most probably officially represented by the Arab League. Now, if Mahmoud Abbas is true to his word recorded in bold red above, the Palestinian Authority should be dismantled and the Arab League should convene it's military committee to embark upon the long-threated war to eliminate Israel and impose a one-state Arab Islamic solution. Here we have the precise condition and objective of Israel's Arab Islamic enemies found in the openning verses of Psalm 83:1-5.

"Do not keep silent, O God! Do not hold Your peace,
And do not be still, O God! For behold, Your enemies make a tumult;

And those who hate You have lifted up their head. They have taken crafty counsel against Your people, And consulted together against Your sheltered ones.

They have said, “Come, and let us cut them off from being a nation, That the name of Israel may be remembered no more.” For they have consulted together with one consent; They form a confederacy against You"

Concurrent with this development is the ever increasing threat of Al Qaeda terrorism. This threat runs the gamut from Mumbai-style attacks involving roving bands of suicidal jihadists attacking large groups of people while armed with assault rifles, grenades and other explosives or simply mowing down people with full-size pick-up trucks in various locations all across the United States.

Directly related to this increased threat of Islamic terrorism in urban and rural America is the fact that the former Islamic "stealth jihad" of the Muslim Brotherhood (al-Ikhwan al-Muslimuun) has been upgraded to full-scale war (jihad) against the people and institutions of the United States. Yes, the Muslim Brotherhood has declared jihad against America. In case anyone is unaware, the Muslim Brotherhood exists in a mosque or Islamic Cultural Center near your home anywhere in America.

Very detailed reports on these threats to homeland USA are found HERE and HERE.

I believe the failure of Israeli-Palestinian Authority negotiations and the Muslim Brotherhood's declaration of war against America are directly related. In this war the Arab Muslims will be going for broke, and if that means war (jihad) being waged simultaneously against both Israel and America, then so be it, that is what they will do. It is what they long ago declared that they would do when the time was right.

The next act in the 'end times' scenario is about to take center stage. In Christ Jesus is our strength and our victory.

"The Most Brilliantly Audacious Defense of Israel Since Moses Parted the Red Sea"

16 November 2010: The title of this article is the verbal response made by an Irish columnist after hearing a debate presented two weeks ago by Cambridge Union law student Gabriel Latner. Here, in full, is Gabriel Latner's speech, wherein he conclusively proves beyond any doubt that the State of Israel is "a rogue state."

Enjoy!

"This is a war of ideals, and the other speakers here tonight are rightfully, idealists. I'm not. I'm a realist. I'm here to win. I have a single goal this evening - to have at least a plurality of you walk out of the 'Aye' door. I face a singular challenge - most, if not all, of you have already made up your minds.

This issue is too polarizing for the vast majority of you not to already have a set opinion. I'd be willing to bet that half of you strongly support the motion, and half of you strongly oppose it. I want to win, and we're destined for a tie. I'm tempted to do what my fellow speakers are going to do - simply rehash every bad thing the Israeli government has ever done in an attempt to satisfy those of you who agree with them. And perhaps they'll even guilt one of you rare undecided into voting for the proposition, or more accurately, against Israel. It would be so easy to twist the meaning and significance of international 'laws' to make Israel look like a criminal state. But that's been done to death.

It would be easier still to play to your sympathy, with personalised stories of Palestinian suffering. And they can give very eloquent speeches on those issues. But the truth is, that treating people badly, whether they're your citizens or an occupied nation, does not make a state' rogue'. If it did, Canada, the US, and Australia would all be rogue states based on how they treat their indigenous populations. Britain's treatment of the Irish would easily qualify them to wear this sobriquet. These arguments, while emotionally satisfying, lack intellectual rigour.

More importantly, I just don't think we can win with those arguments. It won't change the numbers. Half of you will agree with them, half of you won't. So I'm going to try something different, something a little unorthodox. I'm going to try and convince the die-hard zionists and Israel supporters here tonight, to vote for the proposition. By the end of my speech - I will have presented 5 pro-Israel arguments that show Israel is, if not a 'rogue state' than at least 'rogueish'.

Let me be clear. I will not be arguing that Israel is 'bad'. I will not be arguing that it doesn't deserve to exist. I won't be arguing that it behaves worse than every other country. I will only be arguing that Israel is 'rogue'.

The word 'rogue' has come to have exceptionally damning connotations. But the word itself is value-neutral. The OED defines rogue as 'Aberrant, anomalous; misplaced, occurring (esp. in isolation) at an unexpected place or time ', whilea dictionary from a far greater institution gives this definition'behaving in ways that are not expected or not normal, often in adestructive way '. These definitions, and others, centre on the idea of anomaly - the unexpected or uncommon. Using this definition, arogue state is one that acts in an unexpected, uncommon or aberrant manner. A state that behaves exactly like Israel. The first argument is statistical.

The fact that Israel is a Jewish state alone makes it anomalous enough to be dubbed a rogue state: There are 195 countries in the world. Some are Christian, some Muslim, some are secular. Israel is the only country in the world that is Jewish. Or, to speak mathmo for a moment, the chance of any randomly chosen state being Jewish is 0.0051%. In comparison the chance of a UK lotto ticket winning at least £10 is0.017% - more than twice as likely. Israel's jewishness is a statistical abberation.

The second argument concerns Israel's humanitarianism, in particular, Israel's response to a refugee crisis. Not the Palestinian refugee crisis - for I am sure that the other speakers will cover that - but the issue of Darfurian refugees. Everyone knows that what happened - and is still happening in Darfur is genocide, whether or not the UN and the Arab League will call it such. [ I actually hoped that Mr. Massih would be able speak about this - he's actually somewhat of an expert on the Crisis in Darfur, in fact it's his expertise that has called him away to represent the former Dictator of Sudan while heis being investigated by the ICC.]

There has been a mass exodus from Darfur as the oppressed seek safety. They have not had much luck. Many have gone north to Egypt - where they are treated despicably. The brave make a run through the desert in a bid to make it to Israel. Not only do they face the natural threats of the Sinai, they are also used for target practice by the Egyptian soldiers patrolling the border.

Why would they take the risk? Because in Israel they are treated with compassion - they are treated as the refugees that they are - and perhaps Israel's cultural memory of genocide is to blame. The Israeli government has even gone so far as to grant several hundred Darfurian refugees Citizenship. This alone sets Israel apart from the rest of the world. But the real point of distinction is this: The IDF sends out soldiers and medics to patrol the Egyptian border. They are sent looking for refugees attempting to cross into Israel....not to send them back into Egypt, but to save them from dehydration, heat exhaustion, and Egyptian bullets.

Compare that to the US's reaction to illegal immigration across their border with Mexico. The American government has arrested private individuals for giving water to border crossers who were dying of thirst - and here the Israeli government is sending out its soldiers to save illegal immigrants. To call that sort of behavior anomalous is an understatement.

My Third argument is that the Israeli government engages in an activity which the rest of the world shuns -- it negotiates with terrorists. Forget the late PLO Chairman Yasser Arafat, a man who died with blood all over his hands - they're in the process of negotiating with terrorists as we speak. Yasser Abed Rabbo is one of the lead PLO negotiators that has been sent to the peace talks with Israel. Abed Rabbo also used to be a leader of the PFLP - an organisation of 'freedom fighters' that, under Abed Rabbo's leadership, engaged in such freedom promoting activities as killing 22 Israeli high school students. And the Israeli government is sending delegates to sit at a table with this man, and talk about peace. And the world applauds. You would never see the Spanish government in peace talks with the leaders of the ETA - the British government would never negotiate with Thomas Murphy. And if President Obama were to sit down and talk about peace with Osama Bin Laden, the world would view this as insanity. But Israel can do the exact same thing - and earn international praise in the process. That is the dictionary definition of rogue - behaving in a way that is unexpected, or not normal.

Another part of dictionary definition is behaviour or activity 'occuring at an unexpected place or time'. When you compare Israel to its regional neighbours, it becomes clear just how roguish Israel is.

And here is the fourth argument: Israel has a better human rights record than any of its neighbours. At no point in history, has there ever been a liberal democratic state in the Middle east- except for Israel. Of all the countries in the middle east, Israel is the only one where the LGBT community enjoys even a small measure of equality. In Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, and Syria, homosexual conduct is punishable by flogging, imprisonment, or both. But homosexuals there get off pretty lightly compared to their counterparts in Iran, SaudiArabia, and Yemen, who are put to death. Israeli homosexuals can adopt, openly serve in the army, enter civil unions, and are protected by exceptionally strongly worded anti-discrimination legislation. Beats a death sentence.

In fact, it beats America. Israel's protection of its citizens civil liberties has earned international recognition. Freedom House is an NGO that releases an annual report on democracy and civil liberties in each of the 195 countries in the world. It ranks each country as 'Free,' 'Partly Free' or 'Not Free'. In the Middle East, Israel is the only country that has earned designation as a 'free' country. Not surprising given the level of freedom afforded to citizens in say, Lebanon - a country designated 'partly free', where there are laws against reporters criticizing not only the Lebanese government, but the Syrian regime as well. [I'm hoping Ms. Booth will speak about this, given her experience working as a 'journalist' for Iran,] Iran is a country given the rating of 'not free', putting it alongside China, Zimbabwe, North Korea, and Myanmar.

In Iran, [as Ms. Booth I hoped would have said in her speech], there is a special 'Press Court' which prosecutes journalists for such heinous offences as criticizing the ayatollah, reporting on stories damaging the 'foundations of the Islamic republic', using 'suspicious (i.e.western) sources', or insulting Islam. Iran is the world leader in terms of jailed journalists, with 39 reporters (that we know of) in prison as of 2009. They also kicked out almost every western journalist during the 2009 election. [I don't know if Ms Booth was affected by that] I guess we can't really expect more from a theocracy. Which is what most countries in the middle east are. Theocracies and Autocracies. But Israel is the sole, the only, the rogue, democracy. Out of every country in the middle east, only in Israel do anti-government protests and reporting go unquashed and uncensored.

I have one final argument - the last nail in the opposition's coffin - and its sitting right across the aisle. Mr Ran Gidor's presence here is the all evidence any of us should need to confidently call Israel a rogue state. For those of you who have never heard of him, Mr Gidor is a political counsellor attached to Israel's embassy in London. He's the guy the Israeli government sent to represent them to the UN. He knows what he's doing. And he's here tonight. And it's incredible. Consider, for a moment, what his presence here means. The Israeli government has signed off, to allow one of their senior diplomatic representatives to participate in a debate on their very legitimacy. That's remarkable. Do you think for a minute, that any other country would do the same? If the Yale University Debating Society were to have a debate where the motion was 'This house believes Britain is a racist, totalitarian state that has done irrevocable harm to the peoples of the world', that Britain would allow any of it's officials to participate? No. Would China participate in a debate about the status of Taiwan? Never. And there is no chance in hell that an American government official would ever be permitted to argue in a debate concerning it's treatment of prisoners at Guantanamo Bay. But Israel has sent Mr Ran Gidor to argue tonight against [a 'journalist'come reality tv star, and myself,] a 19 year old law student who is entirely unqualified to speak on the issue at hand.

Every government in the world should be laughing at Israel right now - because it forgot rule number one: You never add credence to crackpots by engaging with them. It's the same reason you won't see Stephen Hawking or Richard Dawkins debate David Icke. But Israel is doing precisely that. Once again, behaving in a way that is unexpected, or not normal. Behaving like a rogue state.

That's five arguments that have been directed at the supporters of Israel. But I have a minute or two left. And here's an argument for all of you - Israel willfully and forcefully disregards international law. In 1981 Israel destroyed OSIRAK - Sadam Hussein's nuclear bomb lab. Every government in the world knew that Hussein was building a bomb. And they did nothing. Except for Israel. Yes, in doing so they broke international law and custom. But they also saved us all from a nuclear Iraq. That rogue action should earn Israel a place of respect in the eyes of all freedom loving peoples. But it hasn't.

But tonight, while you listen to us prattle on, I want you to remember something; while you're here, Khomeini's Iran is working towards the Bomb. And if you're honest with yourself, you know that Israel is the only country that can, and will, do something about it. Israel will, out of necessity act in a way that is the not the norm, and you'd better hope that they do it in a destructive manner. Any sane person would rather a rogue Israel than a Nuclear Iran."