Monday, May 16, 2022

Global SITREP C1-22: Strikes in Syria Continue

 

Image capture: Masyaf, Syria 13MAY22

2nd Update Below 16 May 2022: Turning a watchman's gaze to Syria... again.

This past Friday the IAF repeatedly struck an underground bunker and tunnel complex is the vicinity of Masyaf, Hama Province, Syria. This facility struck was constructed after previous IAF strikes destroyed similar structures in this area.

These strike completely obliterated the newly constructed bunker and tunnel complex. Initial reports are of several dead and many wounded in the Friday strikes. The  nine dead and dozen wounded in the strikes are presumed to be Syrian, Iranian/IRGC and Iraqi Shi'a militia and Lebanese Hezbollah. A Pantsir air defense system and its crew which were targeting inbound IAF missiles and aircraft was also annihilated.

The assessment is that retaliation is a certainty. 

17 MAY 2022: The war alert level is higher than assessed previously.

In the past week intelligence collection has discovered that Iran has successfully transferred a number of Kh-55 Granat (Soumar) cruise missiles to Hezbollah in Lebanon. These cruise missiles we've noted previously, were reverse engineered from their original nuclear-capable Russian design.

Hezbollah, or IRGC troops in Lebanon, can utilize these weapons to strike as Israel's off-shore oil and gas platforms or any other strategic target in Israel that would fit in their determined Order of Battle (OOB).

This intelligence discovery immediately preceded the series of strikes at the now eliminated underground facilities and tunnel complex around Masyaf, Hama Province in Syria last on 13 May. Locating the surviving Kh-55s is certainly a very high priority for the IDF. Additional strikes are a certainty, and one of which could ignite the expected fulfillment of the parallel Isaiah 17 and Jeremiah 49:23-27 prophecies.

UPDATE 18 MAY 2022: Reports have begun to emerge that Russia fired an S-300 (NATO Name: SA-10 GRUMBLE) air defense missile at an IAF F16I Sufa strike aircraft during its attack on the underground bunker complex at Masyaf on 13 MAY.  

The SA-10 missed its intended target for one of two possible reasons. Either the Russian's radar lock-on was never achieved (indicating possible Syrian operation of the battery), or the F-16I Sufa's Electronic Warfare Counter-Measures (EWCM) sent the Russian missile off chasing phantom ghosts. The second reason seems the most plausible. 

The bottom line here is two-fold: The F-16I Sufa returned to base safely and the Russian S300/SA-10 Grumble battery at Hmeimim has finally fired upon Israeli aircraft striking Iranian targets in Syria in anger. A secondary outcome is also likely to present itself shortly, and that is Israel's practice of informing Russia in advance when its aircraft will strike Iranian targets in Syria will be abandoned thereby increasing the risks of a direct Israel-Russia military clash in Syrian skies.


47 comments:

  1. This one bears a close watch consistent with what has been stated previously about the Russian military draw down in Syria to focus on Ukraine, as well as Syrian, Iranian and Hezbollah threats of retaliation.

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    Replies
    1. The SOHR just published this 5 days after my comment above:

      "The withdrawal of tens of thousands of Russian troops from Syria to bolster its forces in Ukraine may mark a turning point in the Syrian conflict, and lead to a race between Tehran and Ankara to fill the void left by Moscow in the country, leading analysts suggest.

      Russia, Iran and Turkey are guarantor countries of the Astana talks on Syria that aim at brokering a permanent peace deal by bringing warring sides together.

      However, Russia has been the balancing force in this trio, preventing the uncontrolled entrenchment of Iranian-backed militia.

      But now abandoned Russian bases are believed to have been transferred to Iranian paramilitary Revolutionary Guards Corps and Hezbollah, while Tehran is expected to send more troops into Syria to fill the gap left by Ukraine-bound Russian military personnel.
      "

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  2. Meanwhile, back in the region of the utmost north, Russia is again threatening nuclear strikes on Finland, the US and UK, with the application of Finland and Sweden into the NATO alliance. Russia also is questioning Finland's existence as an independent nation.

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  3. And then in the WESTPAC there is much chatter in intel circles about a deliberately leaked audio tape of senior Chinese PLA/N senior leadership discussing war pans and logistics necessary to invade Taiwan and their long-term agenda to drive the U.S. out of the WESTPAC. The plan involves nuclear and strike vs Japan and the ROK, plus Guam and Australia.

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  4. Replies
    1. ...something like this will not be a drill but the Real McCoy.

      From JPost - Chariots of Fire:
      "The Israeli military will simulate striking targets far from Israel’s borders with a large number of planes while simultaneously acquiring new targets on various fronts in real-time during its largest military drill in history. It will also simulate a future Israeli strike against Iran and its nuclear facilities."

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    2. Yep, one of these days everything will change in one hour

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    3. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    4. Chariots of Fire - Sounds like the perfect scenario for Psalm 83, followed by, or at the same time, Isaiah 17? Hopefully, shortly before, during, or after, our Harpazo - our Elijah moment? Oh, Come, Lord Jesus!

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    5. Sorry, Sean - ignore my comment. Didn't see your update before I replied to your comments. Blessings, Brother.

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    6. Agreed. It's all in a Divinely-controlled collapse.

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    7. A true harbinger of what is coming to the rest of planet Earth quite soon is taking place right now in Sri Lanka.

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  5. Sri Lanka-Out of money-can't buy fuel-35 billion in debt.
    They have the same problem we have. Electing the fox to run the hen house.

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    1. The have not's are attacking enmasse the have's, setting their homes ablaze and cars too. It is a society in full collapse. And India, the regional bread basket, won't send so much as a bushel of wheat.

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  6. Dangerous new realities in the sky over Syria.

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  7. And within Israel, Judea and Samaria in particular, full-scale and wide-spread urban warfare is only a matter of time. PA Security Forces have evaporated into heavily armed bands of fighters of the various terrorist groups.

    IDF infantry, supported by armor and aviation, will be forced to erradicate the terrorist groups. This is what Israel's ancient prophets have foretold, and we are witnesses to real-time fulfillment.

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  8. Sean, I have been reading that Turkey is against Sweden and Turkey joining NATO. Wondering if this could push them to align with Russia even though they have been aligned with Ukraine.

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    Replies
    1. A No Name Anonymous asked:

      Do I agree with Erdogen [sic] that the PKK is terrorist organization?

      My response is:

      No.

      I abide by the US Government's 25-year old designation of the PKK as an FTO (Foreign Terrorist Organization).

      Delete
  9. The military situation at the confrontation line on the Israel-Lebanon border [i.e. the Israel-Hezbollah confrontation line] is best described as being on a "hair trigger."

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  10. Two days after the above 18 May update the general media is now reporting on the Russian/ Syrian S-300 SA-10 Grumble being launched in response to IAF F-16I Sufa's striking the Masyaf facilities. Better late than never.

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/pauliddon/2022/05/20/why-would-russia-fire-a-syrian-s-300-missile-at-israeli-jets/?sh=654c91452eb5

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  11. There are increasing tensions between the Russia-backed 5th Corps militia and the Iran-backed Shi'a militias from Iraq and Lebanon (Hezbollah).

    There have been firefights, and more intense clashes are inevitable as the IRGC builds up forces in Syria.

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  12. Russia's failed war in Ukraine continues.

    Reuters News reports:
    "In a sign of Russia's urgent need to bolster its war effort in Ukraine, parliament said on Friday it would consider a bill to allow Russians over 40 and foreigners over 30 to sign up for the military."

    Russia is getting desperate, and is well aware that Ukraine is saying it will continue combat operations until all Russian forces have been driven back into Russia.

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  13. The long-standing Eschatology Today theme has been about a flood of wars in these last days. And we are aware of the PRC threat to invade Taiwan, attack Japan and engage the US across the entire Western Pacific (WESTPAC). You were made aware of the leak warning about this just days ago.

    Here comes details from a trusted source with full corroboration pending about the Kings of the East war plans.

    China War WESTPAC

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  14. Another round of IAF air strikes in and around Damascus Int'l Airport took out some of the Iranian technology being brought in to enhance the precision of Hezbollah's missile arsenal.

    There is little doubt IMHO that this type of Iranian technology getting through to Hezbollah will cause severe damage to be inflicted upon Israel per Isaiah 17.

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  15. So ... we all know what is about to take place, and no one needs me to repeat what has already been clearly stated umpteen times on Eschatology Today... and so unless a major black swan event occurs I'll be on the practice range, putting and chipping green and playing as much golf as can be played.

    Consider me to be on vacation till then.😎

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Same. Except mine involves wrenches and gasoline.

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    2. Enjoy your time on the links. Wonderful way to get away from it all. I just hope hope you are better at it than me... golf is frustrating to say the least.

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  16. Enjoy Sean, you’ve earned it!!!

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  17. Got to mention this...

    At Davos it suddenly appeared that there is no monolithic Globalist entity, but two quite distinct camps.

    One Globalist camp had its views expressed by Henry Kissinger and called for Ukraine to surrender the Donbas and whatever additional Ukrainian territory Putin wants and thus avoid WWIII.

    The other Globalist camp had its views expressed by George Soros who called on the West (i.e. NATO) to embark immediately in an armed intervention on Ukraine's side to thoroughly defeat Russia, and thus Putin, in order to avoid WWIII.

    Judging by the scale and scope of the heavy weapons (155mm Howitzers and Harpoon ASWs) the West is fast-tracking into Ukraine it is the Soros camp's view that will likely prevail but to the opposite effect of causing WWIII. Direct NATO intervention is probable to end the Russian naval blockade of Ukrainian grain exports to the world.

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  18. The US is actively targeting the IRGC and the government of the Russian Federation for illegal, sanctions-evading smuggling of oil out of Iran.

    https://www.state.gov/targeting-an-oil-smuggling-network-supporting-the-irgc-qf-and-hizballah/

    Also, it is confirmed that the ruling CCP of the People's Republic of China (PRC) has placed the country on a war footing.

    ReplyDelete
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    1. Here's a link to hear Clare Lopez discuss Uvalde; Monkeypox; Summer War w/China 2022

      https://open.spotify.com/episode/63B6XnGuHABtghIvtzezML

      The primary war objectives for the CCP/PLA/N are:

      1.) Military attack on Taiwan in October 2022 launched from Guangdong Province.

      2.) Seizure of first chain of small islands off China's coast, from Indonesia to Japan to Russia.

      3.) Sweep all US and allied naval forces from the Western Pacific (WESTPAC).

      Delete
  19. Vaca cancelled until after Memorial Day. Eye surgery (lens replacement) takes precedence.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Best wishes for successful eye surgery and recovery, Sean! Been there, piece of cake. :)

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    2. Thanks, He has this, and it's for a reason.

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  20. The Globalists at Davos are sullen, depressed, and even fearful of the multiple potential catastrophes facing the world through the remainder of 2022. They are desperate for a "savior" to come riding in on a white stallion to "save the day."

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    Replies
    1. They will have to be patient until the restrainer is removed. :)

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  21. The Biden Administration has openly betrayed Israel by making public knowledge of Israel's acknowledged role in the Tehran assassination of IRGC QF Col. Hassan Sayyad Khodaei.

    Israel confirmed its role in the assassination of Khodaei to the Biden Administration which then made the classified intelligence sharing public by releasing it to the New York Times.

    ReplyDelete
  22. In a little more than 24 hours 16,000 Flag Day marchers will dance their way through the Muslim Quarter of Jerusalem.

    This parade of Star of David flags is in celebration of Israel's military victory in 1967 that brought all of the Holy City back under Israel's sovereignty and the Lord's sovereign will took a giant leap forward.

    Perhaps Sunday will mark another leap forward.

    ReplyDelete
  23. Per the Times of Israel quoting yesterday's issue of the New York Times:

    "A deadly explosion at Iran’s Parchin military complex on Wednesday was caused by quadcopter suicide drones, in an attack that fits a pattern of previous strikes that have been attributed to Israel, The New York Times reported Friday.

    The report cited three Iranian sources along with a US official, who confirmed drones hit the site, but declined to say who was behind the attack. It said the drones exploded into a building being used for research on Iran’s drone development."

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    1. Intel received is the quadcopter attack on Parchin's was specifically against the drone program infrastructure and facilities based there. The strike was completely, nay, utterly devastating to the drone program at the Parchin military site.

      This strike caused Iran to attempt some one-upsmanship in releasing info on another so-called underground drone base located in the Zagros mountains southeast of Tehran. However, this information appears to be 100% for propaganda purposes. There is zero corroboration for the Iranianian government-controlled media. claims and Israel's significant overhead (satellite) reconnaissance has the goods on Iranian "secrets."

      Delete
  24. A VERY evil man, indeed!

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  25. Hello Sean; I seem to recall you've mentioned this individual previously. I've watched a couple of his video presentations - he is openly gay (married), vegan (which is IMO & other than on medical advice; anti-scriptural) and is absolutely fawned over by the other WEF - globalist participants. Big in transhumanism and AI also - unsirprisngly. Certainly an individual to keep an eye on as a sort of 'weathervane', whilst we wait for the One we're definitely supposed ot be watchng for to come and collect us. Steve

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  26. I'm going to put up Global SITREP C2-22 in the next few hours.

    ReplyDelete

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