Friday, July 14, 2017

Global SITREP C7-17: The Syrian Situation Revisited, Part VIII

The military Situation in Syria, 7 July 2017. These are current and true front lines of the Trump-Putin agreement. Click on the map for greater detail. Less than 24 hours later Syrian and Hezbollah forces launched a major assault upon rebel-held As-Suweida.


The former line beyond which enemy forces of Iran and Hezbollah were not to advance southwards.

Update 14 July 2017:  Now it gets a whole lot more interesting, prophetically speaking! Eschatology Today has learned that Russia wants its CSTO allies, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan in particular, to deploy their military forces into Syria in support of Russian military objectives.

As most of you are aware from previous Eschatology Today reports, the view here is that the prophecy of Ezekiel 38/39 reflects modern-day geo-political realities. This interpretation holds that the Central Asian nations (former republics of the Soviet Union) constitute the bulk of the nations identified in Ezekiel's prophecy which also participate in the near future doomed-to-failure attempt to invade and conquer Israel for the spoils of war.

Here these nations are now with Russia putting the prophetic hooks in their jaws in drawing them into a middle eastern war which itself is like a derailed locomotive disaster about to happen at the next bend in the tracks. Looking up with eyes wide open, brother sand sisters!

11 July 2017: The US-Russian agreement for a partial ceasefire in southwestern Syria along the Israeli-Jordanian borders went into effect two and one-half hours ago. (See new 7JUL17 map at top) This is not a formalized, written and signed document for a cessation of hostilities, but a verbal agreement made between the US and Russian leadership during their sidebar meeting at the G20 conference in Hamburg, Germany. It is the most recent ceasefire in a long series of failed ceasefires brokered by the US and Russia in Syria. 

The closest thing to any detail of what is in the agreement is that all opposing forces must maintain their current positions; they are essentially to be frozen in place. Reportedly, according to the Russian side, the cessation is to be policed by Russian MPs. There are no US forces on the ground in southwestern Syria east of Al-Tanf or Raqqa. In Syrian government media there has been no mention of the cessation of hostilities.

Israel, Jordan and the US have long been monitoring southern Syria with the most advanced, high-tech surveillance systems on any international border in the world. Since the surrveillance system made by Raytheon went active there has never been a succesdful infiltration of Jordanian territory. The system monitors troop movement deep inside Syrian territory. Any infiltration attempt receives a warning. If the warning is ignored the infiltrators are summarily exterminated.

7 July 2017: The unexpected has happened. The expected 30-minute meeting of presidents Trump and Putin at the G20 became an unexpected meeting of two and a quarter hours. The unexpected happened again when the announcement of a negotiated ceasefire in Syria to commence Sunday was made public by SECSTATE Tillerson right after the US and Russian presidential meeting concluded. 

Details on what is within the ceasefire agreement should be forthcoming. However, initial reporting seems to confirm that Iranian militias, including Hezbollah, must withdraw at least 30 miles from the Israeli and Jordanian borders as related in the 3 July update below. Also, combat operations against IS will continue. How Iran and Turkey will respond to this agreement is unknown, but Iran is likely going to be furious at being jilted by their Russian ally.

And there's the rub. No ceasefire of Russian involvement in Syria has ever been worth the paper it wasn't written on. This fact is also primarily superceded by what Isaiah and Jeremiah wrote more than two and one half millennia ago. How the truce collapses is not as important as how Bible prophecy guarantees that it will fail.


VBIED terror attack in Damascus on 2 July 2017. Image by AFP from Times of Israel. This image is proof that Damascus is not yet destroyed as some prophecy teachers are prematurely teaching.

3 July 2017:
Part VIII of this SITREP series on the war in Syria begins by focusing on a rather critical circumstance. This circumstance is present, as seen in the map above, from Israel's Golan Heights adjoining Lebanon, south to Quneitra and on down to and along all of the 235-mile long Syrian-Jordanian border. Under a joint US-Jordan-Russia agreement no military forces other than Syrian government's own forces are permitted to be any nearer than 30 miles of the border as indicated by the red line. This agreement exists despite the fact that the Syrian armed forces are under the de facto control of IRGC-Qods Force commander, Brig. Gen Qassem Soleimani, and therefore, Iranian Ayatollah Khamenei. Also in accordance with this agreement only token Syrian government forces would be present at border crossings. This 'closed' foreign military region clearly includes the city of Dara'a.

The truly critical and problematic circumstance detail is that the IRGC-led Hezbollah and Iranian proxy militias are present within this established foreign military no-go zone. They have made no effort to withdraw, and actually have continues their advance. Keeping these Iranian-led forces away from the Israeli and Jordanian borders was the key objective of the tri-party agreement in order to forestall an escalation of the warfighting to include Israel and Jordan in defense of their borders from Iranian military encroachment. 

As of this point in time, particularly in the pro-regime offensive against rebels in and around Dara'a (ostensibly under the control of the Multinational Operations Center (MOC) in Amman) and just outside of Quneitra, the agreement has become an objective failure posing a clear and present danger for unpredictable consequences. These unpredictable consequences, which we have been expecting per Isaiah 17 and Jeremiah 49:23-27, could quickly become tomorrow's headlines. 

39 comments:

Joe said...

Hi Sean, I've read recently that a seesfire was initiated in the southern area as of midnight Sunday. What are your thoughts?

Sean Osborne said...

Besides the fact that the ceasefire is unilateral, it is also more or less a Syrian/Iranian propaganda stunt with zero chance of success.

Sean Osborne said...

The unilateral ceasefire presents a golden opportunity for the covert movement of chemical weapons south towards Dara'a. Who'd dare launch a preemptive strike during a ceasefire?

hartdawg said...

Isreal might

Sean Osborne said...

I agree.

Kenneth Moore said...

Following closely Sean. HAMAS/PLO has fired rockets and mortars before during
ceasefire. BTW I life the WarPaint. We have a spiritual war and physical war
seems to be world wide events.

Sean Osborne said...

Trump-Putin meeting in Hamburg underway. As always, expecting the unexpected.

Anonymous said...

Sean, great news about the G20 results regarding Russia agreeing with POTUS to work out a recourse!

Thank you for sharing the great news!

GG5/SHALOM. Can't remember my password so signing in Anoymouse

Kenneth Moore said...

In the social sciences, unintended consequences (sometimes unanticipated consequences, unforeseen consequences, or accidents) are outcomes that are not the ones foreseen and intended by a purposeful action.

In this case Biblical consequences will happen.

Sean Osborne said...

OK, fellowship chatter & comments were read and have now been removed as the discussion necessarily moves back to focus on the subject of this SITREP.

Sean Osborne said...

CJTF-OIR forces, American forces in particular, have been authorized to use any means at their disposal to halt Iranian/Hezbollah movement or actions inconsistent with the verbal Trump-Putin ceasefire agreement for southern Syria.

Long story short, if enemy forces move forward, they will be attacked and destroyed to a level as deemed necessary by US field commanders.

Sean Osborne said...

Today Syrian and Hezbollah forces launched a heavy offensive into one of the three southwestern governornates covered under the Trump-Putin ceasefire agreement.

They are, north to south, Quneitra, Daraa and As-Suweida. The offensive was launched into As-Suweida.

Lance M said...

That didn't take long

jmoll106 said...

Sean, with the upcoming defeat of Isis, do you think the U.S. will remain on the drawn border above. With Iran and hezbollah not part of this ceasefire, I am expecting the unexpected.

Sean Osborne said...

Jmoll,

I think that those saying the defeat of Islamic State is imminent don't much know the reality of what Islamic State is, or what Islam itself is.

#1 Islamic State is not a state. Islamic State is fundamentalist Islam clothed in the remnants of Saddam Hussein's former Sunni regime. Fundamentalist Islam and the worship of the false god allah will not be destroyed until Muslims are forced to reconcile real-world reality with what the Qur'an and the Hadith's have written in them.

That reconciliation cannot be accomplished by boots on the ground and pilots in the sky winning battles. If it were true then Islam would have shriveled up and died long ago when the Islamic caliphate that stretched from Spain and Morocco to the gates of Vienna was rolled backwards in defeat by Europeans fighting under the sign of the cross. Islamists back then merely recognized the superiority of European military forces and were subdued for the better part of a millennium. (1000 AD to 2000 AD, roughly).

Only when the LORD God YHWH of Israel reveals Himself to the Arabs as the One truly omnipotent, omniscient and omnipresent Divine being will a true reconciliation occur, When this occurs, as I've written previously, those who are currently Arab Muslims will beg the Jews to build their Temple and offer manual labor, finance and all other forms of assistance - such as providing Israel with the one and only spot on the earth upon which the Temple can stand.

Lance said...

My first thought after looking at the newest map....what a mess! It is remarkable that this situation hasn't resulted in more serious confrontations. Truly, Syria doesn't exist anymore....it looks like the feet of iron and clay (I know that's not the application, but it reminds me of that image). Like humpty-dumpty, this egg will never be put back together on this side of the trib.

Sean Osborne said...

Laughable. For the most part the MSM is not reporting on the Syrian-Hezbollah major offensive in As-Suweida that began yesterday. Instead they're reporting thst the first 24-hours of the Trump-Putin ceasefire was uneventful. Obviously they're obsessed with irrelevant non-news and other assorted nothingness. Laughable because a flood's coming and media are oblivious to it. Maybe when the City of Damascus has been wiped from the face of the earth they'll take notice.

Maybe.

Sean Osborne said...

Lance,

Nor on the other side of the 70th Week.
Syria as it was prior to the revolt is gone forever.

On the other side of the 70th Week there will be just three nations in southwest Asia with a great highway connecting them: Egypt, Israel and Assyria.

Sean Osborne said...

About my comment responding to Jmoll on Islamic State just above.

There's a report by the BBC out today on how CJTF-OIR Commander LTG Stephen Townsend has told the Shi'a dominated government of Iraq they must make drastic changes in how they do things in order to bring the Sunni's into the fold; that failure to do so will lead to the rise of Islamic State version 2.0 - meaning the continued division of the country and sectarian warfare (i.e. civil war) such as has been occurring in Syria for the past 7 years, and in Iraq since 2010.

Essentially my point this morning is identical to what LTG Townsend just told the Iraqi government.

Great Grany 5 said...

Sean,

Great detail about the reality of ISIS and the outcome directly from YAHWEH! But that map of Syria is a great fact checker to reality. What comes now? We keep on being a Presence to stop ISIS from further advancement or a deterrent to Iran/Russia enlarging their consignment attempts?

I know that God is never in a hurry and he is always on time but I can't help but wonder.

GG5/SHALOM

jmoll106 said...

Since Sunni and Shi'a have been divided since 632 AD, I would say they have a better chance of coming to God the way you described above.
The promises of God will prevail.
Thanks, always very insightful.

Sean Osborne said...

GG5,

What next? Well, without Iran the Shi'a dream of conquest and an al-Mahdi becomes just so much Islamic braggadocio. This is what Jeremiah 49:34-39 is all about.

That leaves Isaiah 17/Jeremiah 49:23-27 and then Psalm 83/Isaiah 11:12-14/Ezekiel 28:24-26 to permanently solve the Sunni jihad problem.

Ezekiel 38/39 follows thereafter and then the 70th Week.

Somewhere in all of this the bride is taken up.

Great Grany 5 said...

SEAN, that is a big ship load and it might take a little longer than I had thought but whatever, at least we all know WHO is in charge and what the final outcome is going to be. In the meantime, have to keep myself in line with God's Word and not grip or complain along the way.

Wonderful summer day and heat index in the mid 100's. But I love it!

GG5/SHALOM (pant, pant)

Sean Osborne said...

GG5,

Well, remember what Gabriel said to Daniel... (Daniel 9:26c)

"The end of it shall be with a flood, and till the end of the war desolations are determined."

Finality comes quickly.

jmoll106 said...

Sean, I also read where Iran is going to be leasing land,sea and airbases in Syria.

Sean Osborne said...

And Israel will never allow that to happen.

Great Grany 5 said...

Sean and all the company of Wall Watchers,
Do you get this deep intuitive moving going on overtime as we wait for the whistle to sound on the referees signal to begin the contest? I am just going to state this as the Holy Presence of God directs my fingers, if that is alright with you. I attempted to say "signal" but instead 'sound' kept popping up in it's place, so, let's go with the God appointed word.

I have been studying on the current prophecies that are being proclaimed but we are not to get side tracked with the fake and we shall all know them when they do not Glorify God. The prophecies that are our true focus are those that God breathed prior to the Church entering into reality and we are not to replace God's Gold with brass. We are stand firmly anchored in HIS WORD and when the NEW word is spoken from Heaven above, we will all at one time and in one mind recognize HIM.

There is a great attempt to deceive and confuse the Body of Christ and for this we have all of the armor and protection that has ever been needed but never before in the history of the Church has there been such wicked counsel or spiritual onslaught. The time for the master of evil to put on a show that will confuse and deceive even the most esteemed leaders has come and show off he will but YOU will all know it by the fear factor first and the dispute against the Anointed Word of God. Let no man or woman deceive you and when you hear an unknown voice whispering in your innermost being, try that spirit by the very command of Jesus Christ. 1 John 4: "1 Beloved, do not believe every spirit, but test the spirits, whether they are of God; because many false prophets have gone out into the world. 2 By this you know the Spirit of God: Every spirit that confesses that Jesus Christ has come in the flesh is of God, 3 and every spirit that does not confess that Jesus Christ has come in the flesh is not of God. And this is the spirit of the Antichrist, which you have heard was coming, and is now already in the world.
4 You are of God, little children, and have overcome them, because He who is in you is greater than he who is in the world. 5 They are of the world. Therefore they speak as of the world, and the world hears them. 6 We are of God. He who knows God hears us; he who is not of God does not hear us. By this we know the spirit of truth and the spirit of error."

None of us are exempt from the tricks of the devil and believe me, Satan is very real. So stay alert and guard your heart and your mind to keep it free from doubt and worry but especially, don't be deceived.

GG5/SHALOM

Dave said...

Thank you GG/5 SHALOM

Sean Osborne said...

GG5,

To respond to your question... my response is Yes; a Very Big Time Yes!

You've hit on points which are addressed in the next SITREP. I've promised this post to a few of our brethren who've inquired or made private comments, but events have forced the prophetic focus elsewhere for a few days.

My often stated belief is that we only wait for the Father to instruct His Son to go collect His bride. Prophetically speaking... we're virtually there. Now by "there" I mean to say that signs of a great apostasy within our ranks is everywhere, but those brethren have left us, we have not left them.

One example. There's Chrislam. This abomination is where some churches have been led by their pastors/ministers to accept and join with the false god of Islam in their worship services. This absolute heresy defiles holy sanctuaries where before the Holy Spirit had ministered.

A second example. There is false prophecy and a false word being taught all over the place; too numerous to mention here, but all of us have seen it here and there.

There is much more, but should I write more here suffice it to say there'd be no reason to complete the coming SITREP on the main page of this blog. The coming SITREP will confirm what you wrote in your comment to the letter.

Great Grany 5 said...

Sean.
Oh, my! I have no idea how the following came about but I have just spent about 2 hours reading your posting regarding Greece and the posting you made on March 8, 2015 titled "THE ORIGIN OF THE ANTICHRIST" and answered a great big question that I didn't think about before. So, going back to the earlier postings and searching out the things we overlook really is a great idea. So thankful for the fact that we have access to do this on your blog. I had read your comments before and thought I had a firm grip on the facts you laid out for all of us but I had missed or didn't pay attention to the fact that the newest PM of Greece is also a Communist but more importantly, he is an Atheist of the highest degree. And he came IN HIS OWN NAME and they received him to a very high position.

Thank you and now I will await your next promised coming SITREP.

GG5/SHALOM

Sean Osborne said...

GG5,

Yup, Greece plays an important role in the 70th Week, per Gabriel, and which is why these watchman's eyes are long focused there for developments as they occur.

Sean Osborne said...

I'll assume that everyone is current with how Israel IS NOT on board with the US-Russian ceasefire agreement in southwestern Syria. PM Netanyahu made this very clear in Paris.

Now we hear as a direct result of this that Israel will strike to destroy any permanent Iranian or Hezbollah base that is stood up in Syria.

To borrow a Biblical phrase, the handwriting is on the wall.

jmoll106 said...

It's interesting watching all these things unfold. It's like a roller coaster ride. Up, down, jerked left, jerked right and christians are the only group with peace and hope. Knowing our redemption stop draws close.

hartdawg said...

....speaking of Greece, is there any more developments occurring concerning SITREP C6-17?

Sean Osborne said...

Keep an eye on the dynamic between Greece and Macedonia, it's getting interesting.

Lance M said...

Not sure where to post this one , but things are "gettin real" on the Temple Mount. Just a short time now...

hartdawg said...

Personally I don't think anything significant is going to happen on the Temple Mount until Psalm 83 or possibly Gog Magog but I could be wrong

Sean Osborne said...

The prophetic time of Zechariah 12 draws ever closer, and at present it appears to already be upon the world as a sign of the grace and supplication the Lord is about to pour out upon the inhabitants of Jerusalem, then Judah and then all Israel. Sounds like a definitive sequence to me of how the Lord will pour out His Spirit upon all Israel.



Lance M said...

You could be right Hartdawg, but considering the lateness of the hour, I expect that small things will turn into big things very quickly. As Sean cited in Zechariah 12, I think the burdensome stone is about to cut many nations to pieces.