Global SITREP G3-21: War in the WESTPAC

 

UPDATED BELOW: 7 October 2021: It's not looking good in the WESTPAC (Western Pacific). A headline and article published yesterday by DailyWaire.com: "Chinese State Media Warns U.S.: 'War May Be Triggered At Any Time' Over Taiwan." 

All pretense of even relative calm between the Communist mainland and the Nationalist democratic government on Taiwan has evaporated. The air force of the PLA have intruded within Taiwan's ADIZ (Air Defense Identification Zone) well over 150 times since last Friday, with 56 combat aircraft intruding on Monday, 4 October, just three days ago. These aggressive intrusions of PLA J-11 combat aircraft are a virtual daily occurrence and in every circumstance are they  intercepted Taiwanese Air Force F-16 fighters. The confrontations are normally brief, less than 15 minutes, but in this environment air combat could erupt and end in a first contact within seconds.

 

The Communist mouthpiece paper Global Times made clear this week that the trigger for the PLA military to bring punishment upon Taiwan's "secessionist forces" will occur, and "Time will prove that this warning is not just a verbal threat." This was followed by a Communist tweet: "Since Taiwan authorities are preparing for war, let's see whether Australia is willing to accompany Taiwan[s] separatist regime to become cannon fodder."

As we've noted previously, there is no question that Japan will act militarily in defense of Taiwan. Make no mistake, Japan is urgently preparing for war with China. The CCP response has been that it would nuke Japan in the event of Japanese intervention in "Chinese internal affairs." As for the U.S. under fully CCP-compromised President Joe Biden, the longstanding ambiguity of the Taiwan Agreement (maybe we will, maybe we won't) remains as it is.

Here are all of the ingredients necessary for tactical nuclear warfare to erupt in the WESTPAC. The question then becomes, will it remain a tactical exchange of nukes or escalate up to strategic strikes. Wars and rumors of wars.

Tsugaru Strait, Japan

UPDATE 21 October 2021: What is known in naval terms as a Joint Surface Action Group (J-SAG), this one comprised of Russian and Chinese PLA/N surface combatant ships, passed through Japan's international waterway, the Tsugaru Strait, on Monday of this week (map above). The USNI website has the report in detail from the Joint Staff of the Japanese Self-Defense Force (JSDF) in photos and data points. It is well worth your attention.

Eschatology Today will note that this Russian-Chinese J-SAG evokes the future fulfillment in Scripture found in Daniel 11:44 regarding military news from the east and the north resulting in a specific 70th Week military engagements. Nevertheless we see these same military powers acting in concert today in prologue for the future. This transit is also a direct threat to Japan with respect to the Japanese declaration of its intent to defend Taiwan in the event of Communist Chinese military action.