Tuesday, July 8, 2014

Global SITREP C15-14: IDF Launches 'Operation Protective Edge' Against HAMAS in Gaza

8 July 2014:  DAY ONE OPE - Four pillars of smoke rise over Gaza as the IDF's Operation 'Protective Edge' commences against HAMAS and assorted jihadist groups in Gaza via Air Force and Naval gunfire support.  In a decidedly minimalist sense the Israeli media, led by the IDF spokesperson, have taken to referring to this operation as a "security situation."  Ignore that politically correct PR rubbish when you see it. This is war, pure and simple. 

Overnight the IAF struck at least 40 terrorist Command and Control (C2) sites in Gaza. HAMAS and Jihad Islami terrorists returned fire in the form of high volume mortar and missile fire barrages. Obviously the terrorists were unphased by the loss of the C2 sites and have a redundant system with which to launch coordinated counterfires against Israeli civilian targets all over southern Israel. Realizing this tactical fact PM Netanyahu's cabinet has authorized IDF armor and mechanized troops to execute their assigned orders and objectives. 

Precisely what those objectives are remains to be seen as this operation currently has all of the earmarks of a potential "Operation Pillar of Cloud Part II." What I mean by that is that this does not appear to be a planned existential war against HAMAS and the assorted terrorist groups in Gaza, but a limited action designed to quiet them down. If this turns out to be the case, then Iran has Israel precisely where they want them - a never ending war of attrition consuming Israeli treasure, combat power and escalating civilian casualties. Israel must demonstrate that never again literally means never again, and they must do it against HAMAS so that the rest of Islam understands the concept of military annihilation of the enemy in order to secure peace and quiet.

First Update: Indications are that the Netanyahu cabinet has made a determination to "go all the way" against the terrorist infestation of Gaza. In my experience "go all the way" means total war, and total war in Gaza means unrestrained war above, on the ground and below ground level. The IDF has received authorization from the political echelon to use any and all means at their disposal. Therein lies the IDF call-up of an additional 40,000 troops. Such a call up of reserves all but guarantees an all-out IDF invasion and conquest of Gaza. In this rapidly escalating war it seems to me that Abu Mazen (PA President Mahmoud Abbas) had better keep a very, very low profile lest a HAMAS or other Islamist assassin terminate his opposition to this Islamic jihad against Israel.

Second Update: Quoting Uzi Landau (of the Israel Beytenu party" statement to the Israeli paper Yedioth Aharonoth today: "If we enter Gaza it won't be a matter of a day or two, but rather with the goal of completing the job, so that there won't be a terror infrastructure."



Third Update: HAMAS is now firing longer range rockets at Tel Aviv. The Iron Dome anti-missile system intercepted and destroyed the first rocket shortly after a Code Red siren began wailing in Tel Aviv. The puff of smoke high in the center of the image above is the actual intercept and destruction of the HAMAS rocket over Tel Aviv.

Above is a map published today by Israel's Home Front Command. It is an instruction to Israel's population throughout the county on the amount of time they have to seek the safety of shelter once warnings are issued about incoming missiles.

Fourth Update: HAMAS is not content to lob missiles and mortars at Israel. A little over two hours ago a five-man squad of very heavily armed HAMAS terrorists apparently skimmed along the Mediterranean Sea coastline to come ashore with a plan to attack kibbutz Zikim located just north of the border. What the terrorists did not plan on was having their movement by sea detected by Israeli naval forces. The INS promptly alerted their ground pounding IDF counter-parts ashore. The terrorists then ran smack dab into a well-prepared unit of the IDFs Givati Brigade which ambushed them in a firefight on a well-prepared battlefield, quickly dispatching all three terrorists to their eternity. Naval and heliborne troops also rained fire upon the infiltrators. There are reports of other infiltrating terrorists in southern Israel. The IDF is hunting them down.

Central and even northern Israel, between Jerusalem, Holon and Tel Aviv and north to Binyamina has now come under a massive barrage of HAMAS rocket fire; Code Red sirens can be heard in several community's across this region, with several explosions being heard in Jerusalem. Iron Dome shot down one rocket over the city of Holon; a second rocket was also shot down over Tel Aviv this evening. Day two dead ahead. Remember Israel is +7 hours ahead of US EDT/+10 hours PDT.

Day Two OPE: HAMAS has continued to fire what may well be their longest-range but highly inaccurate rockets into the region just south of Haifa in northern Israel. These rockets have impacted into the Carmel and Zikhron Ya'akov areas. The IDF reports that just under 80 rockets were fired into Israel today prior to sunset.

As expected PA President Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) has begun to accuse Israel of "genocide" against "entire families of Palestinians in Gaza." So-called Arab-Israeli's in the Knesset (Israel's Parliament), not to be outdone by their boss, have taken to the floor of that assembly to denounce IDF troops as "murderers."  This kind of rhetoric is intended create a second front of unrestrained Islamic warfare against Israel in Judea and Samaria. It won't be long before street protests in Nazareth and other locales morph into firefights.

Final Update OPE Day Two: This may be a very unpopular final update for me to write. However, these words without question and most accurately will sum up the current situation. The State of Israel has brought this increasingly violent war upon itself because it has allowed HAMAS to not only survive, but to thrive and grow in the formerly conquered Gaza enclave unilaterally and unconditionally provided to it by the State of Israel in 2005. What nation in their right mind provides energy, fuel and sustenance to their existential enemies who then use those expensive resources to murder its citizens and attack its infrastructure?  What kind people allow their government to behave in such a suicidal manner during a war? I find myself utterly disgusted by the current government of the State of Israel, but I pray earnestly for its people being held hostage in their own homes by an incompetent foreign policy. Come to think of it, I feel the same way about the current American government and what it is doing in my homeland.

Perhaps if HAMAS, specifically their Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigade, succeeds in striking Israel's nuclear complex at Dimona the government of Israel will receive its long overdue wake up call. HAMAS has now made at least seven attempts to strike the Dimona nuclear complex with unguided rockets, and has failed every time.  Only three of the now seven M-75 (a/k/a the Iranian-made Fajr-5) rockets fired at dimona actually had a trajectory which the Iron Dome system deemed to be a genuine threat and that missile was promptly intercepted and destroyed.

 
OPE Day Three:  There is no way Israel can end the rain of missiles that HAMAS is firing upon virtually all of Israel without the introduction of some very heavy IDF mechanized boots on the ground. Israel's navy and air force are just as incapable of completely stopping this type of warfare as the US was against Saddam Hussein's missiles at the start of OIF eleven years ago. I firmly believe that IDF infantry will have to become experts in tunnel rat warfare, and they will have to employ state-of-the-art ground penetrating radar in order to locate all of the hidden stores of war materiel within the maze that exists throughout Gaza. This will be a very dirty and bloody affair to be sure, especially seeing how HAMAS and the other terrorist groups have taken to the widespread use of human shields to ward of Israel air strikes on high value targets. The IDF's use of ground penetrating "bunker busters" will also likely become a key feature in this war.


First Update OPE Day Three: The government of Israel has issued a warning order to all 100,000 residents of Gaza city suburbs Beit Lahia, Beit Hanoun, and the Khan Younis suburbs of Abasan al-Kabera and Abasan al-Saghira to relocate to areas along the coastline as the minimum effort necessary to avoid the impending ground combat phase of OPE. This warning order indicates that the IDF intends to invade and gain control of all parts of Gaza with the exception of Rafah on the Egyptian border.

The military element of Fatah has become a combatant in the Islamist rocket assault upon Israel, which includes HAMAS, Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ),
the Al-Quds Mujaedeen Shura Council (AQMSC) and the Islamic State (formerly known as ISIS). The AQMSC and Islamic State are now virtually the same organization since the AQMSC pledged allegiance to ISIS this past spring. With this grouping are several more AQ-aligned salafist terror groups who are active in the Sinai.

11 comments:

Roz said...

Honestly, Sean, you are offering the best coverage of this war!! Thanks!

Sean Osborne said...

Roz,

Thanks. I'm trying to stay on top of developments as best I am able. I'm focusing on key elements because there is so much going on.

Expect the unexpected from this point forward.

hartdawg said...

4 updates in just 1 day? Things must really be heating up! As the psalmist says we must pray for the peace of Jerusalem. I must confess my lack of prayer for Israel, Netanyahu and the IDF. May the Lord forgive me, and Lord, give Netanyahu wisdom and protect your people as you said in your Holy Word. ".....the God of Israel neither slumbers nor sleeps"

SammiD said...

I am a huge fan and check your site a couple of times each day.

Thank you for your coverage of this war. You are the only source of info on this situation, as the mainstream media has decided to ignore it.


God bless you Sean.

mark3210 said...

Thanks again for the regular updates, Sean!

I can't imagine what it's like living in Israel right now with all of the sirens and running to bomb shelters.

Israel has had to endure this too many times in recent years.

Anonymous said...

Sean, I agree completely with your assessment of the current situation in by Yisra'el and the U.S.! Election do have consequence, and it is time voters in both Yisra'el and the U.S. realize this. We - Yisra'eli and American voters have elected those who would facilitate and create the policies that have lead to the situations where incompetence and corruption run rampant at the suffrage of our countrymen. Dear Father, send Yeshua back quickly to collect His Bride!

Sean Osborne said...

Amen!

In all of this continuous yet on-again, off-again warfare over the past 66 years the lesson for students of Christian eschatology should be abundantly obvious.

There needs to occur a "sea change" in the mind-set of the restored in unbelief Israel who have been far too content to win the battles of 1948, 1967, 1973 and 2006 but have abjectly and repeatedly failed to prosecute the war to a complete and unconditional victory.

This is the ultimate truth that Bible prophecy for the near-term future points to - a complete and unconditional victory will be achieved.

We are correct to expect the prophetic victory to occur, but as with everything else under the Lord's complete control - it has an appointed time.

Psalm 121:4

"Behold, He who keeps Israel
Shall neither slumber nor sleep."

Anonymous said...

Sean,

Thankyou for the higher than usual update rate of Info-rich posts you've been putting out lately... the times we are currently in leave many of us hungry for Intel.

I so have one small suggestion concerning the format, which may or may not be useful, and that is I think it would be better to label each post in the current series OPE Day 3,July 10th... or 7/10: OPE Day 3 (or whatever you think is best). Adding the date right with the post adds immediate perspective. Again, not sure if this is a useful suggestion but thought I would throw it out there.

Thanks again for the hard work.

Sean Osborne said...

Anon,

At the top of this post it reads: 8 July 2014 DAY ONE OPE -

Accordingly, Day Two was 9 July and Day Three is today 10 July.

This post ends after today's final update and the next SITREP will follow the same format of the next three days of OPE.

I find this format is easier to deal with than using my normal military format which would be OPE+1, OPE+2 OPE+3 and so on.

In the long run its not the calendar date that will be important, but the key events which occurred on which day of Operation Protective Edge, especially if the IDF command is accurate in forecasting this will be a longer operation than both Operation Cast Lead (DEC 2008-JAN'09) and Operation Pillar of Cloud (ʿAmúd ʿAnán)(14-21 November 2012) were.

Lawrence Prabhakar Williams said...

Sean your SITREP is a comprehensive fusion of Biblical Prophecy and information intensive report. The the sequence of reporting is very accurate. Do you see the fine prints of the Psalm 83 war evolving from Operation Protective Edge? I am looking forward for the fulfillment of Zechariah 9:5-7 prophecy
--Lawrence

Sean Osborne said...

Hello Brother Lawrence!

Thank you, WELCOME and, very much I say YES, I believe the Psalm 83 end game can be seen in what is occurring right now in OPE, and not only in Gaza, but also in Israel.

Some of the key fine points of the prophetic Word are contained in SITREP C16-14, and to which I now very strongly include Ezekiel 35 are particularly poignant in this season of prophetic fulfillment.

For example, Ezekiel 35:10-15 is extremely relevant to the here and now of OPE, of the words being spoken by HAMAS, their fellow terrorists, and their abettors in Hezbollah and Iran. God makes a very powerful promise to these Muslim jihadists, which I have made bold in the quote below. I believe these prophetic words are to be fulfilled imminently as this war unfolds before our eyes.

"Because you have said, ‘These two nations and these two countries shall be mine, and we will possess them,’ although the Lord was there, therefore, as I live,” says the Lord God, “I will do according to your anger and according to the envy which you showed in your hatred against them; and I will make Myself known among them when I judge you. Then you shall know that I am the Lord. I have heard all your blasphemies which you have spoken against the mountains of Israel, saying, ‘They are desolate; they are given to us to consume.’ Thus with your mouth you have boasted against Me and multiplied your words against Me; I have heard them.

‘Thus says the Lord God: “The whole earth will rejoice when I make you desolate. As you rejoiced because the inheritance of the house of Israel was desolate, so I will do to you; you shall be desolate, O Mount Seir, as well as all of Edom—all of it! Then they shall know that I am the Lord.
"

Mount Seir is symbolic for all of Israel's enemies, 'round about.

Time is very, very short indeed! God will begin to reveal Himself to Israel during this war. Their disbelief is about to come to an end as prophesied!